Explanatory notes:
Thursday was a very wet day with the active northeast monsoon.There is plenty of low level moisture available for showers and thunderstorms to trigger further showers and thunderstorms upwind as the downdrafts encounter the moist northeast monsoon winds resulted in the hours of rain due to some "training".
Over the east coast states it was even wetter with low level wind convergence continuously triggering showers and thunderstorms over the South China Sea and these getting enhanced near the coast due to low level wind convergence of northeast monsoon winds with land breeze with the rainfall leading to cool temperatures inland.
Northeast monsoon throughout the forecast period with the monsoon trough within the vicinity of the region.The northeast monsoon would be quite strong over the South China Sea from Thursday to Sunday with the northeast monsoon cold surge as high pressure system spreads southwards over China.
This leads to a heavy rainfall episode over east coast states with low level wind convergence of the moist and unstable northeast monsoon winds.
Another heavy rainfall episode over the east coast states is possible next week but still some uncertainty.This heavy rainfall episode could be accompanied by the development of a tropical low within the vicinity of Northern Peninsula Malaysia and this could lead to very wet weather conditions throughout the Peninsula on Wednesday.
How wet the next few days depends on the strength of the northeast monsoon over the Peninsula,GFS 00Z has stronger northeast monsoon winds with greater low level wind convergence,this situation leading to more rainfall compared to the ECMWF 00Z solution.
On Thursday I launched a new 24 hour weather channel.Please click here to access it or click on "24 hour weather channel" from the sidebar.
The rest of Friday November 24:
Precis forecast:Possible early rain.Showers,thunderstorms and rain developing.
Mostly cloudy.A medium(40%) chance of rain early.A very high(90%) chance of showers, thunderstorms and rain most likely from late morning.Light winds.
Chance of any rain:90%
Mostly cloudy.A medium(40%) chance of rain early.A very high(90%) chance of showers, thunderstorms and rain most likely from late morning.Light winds.
Chance of any rain:90%
Saturday November 25:
24-32 Degrees Celsius
Precis forecast:Showers,thunderstorms and rain developing.
Partly to mostly cloudy.A very high(90%) chance of showers, thunderstorms and rain most likely from late morning.Light winds.
Chance of any rain:90%
Partly to mostly cloudy.A very high(90%) chance of showers, thunderstorms and rain most likely from late morning.Light winds.
Chance of any rain:90%
Sunday November 26:
24-32 Degrees Celsius
Precis forecast:Showers,thunderstorms and rain developing.
Partly to mostly cloudy.A very high(95%) chance of showers, thunderstorms and rain most likely from late morning.Light winds.
Chance of any rain:95%
Partly to mostly cloudy.A very high(95%) chance of showers, thunderstorms and rain most likely from late morning.Light winds.
Chance of any rain:95%
Monday November 27:
24-32 Degrees Celsius
Tuesday November 28:
24-31 Degrees Celsius
Wednesday November 29:
23-31 Degrees Celsius
Precis forecast:Showers,thunderstorms and rain developing.
Partly to mostly cloudy.A very high(95%) chance of showers, thunderstorms and rain most likely from late morning.Light winds.
Chance of any rain:95%
Partly to mostly cloudy.A very high(95%) chance of showers, thunderstorms and rain most likely from late morning.Light winds.
Chance of any rain:95%
Tuesday November 28:
Precis forecast:Showers,thunderstorms and rain
Partly to mostly cloudy.A very high(95%) chance of showers,thunderstorms and rain.Light winds becoming northwesterly at 10-20 km/h from late morning becoming light at night,but stronger winds with showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of any rain:95%
Wednesday November 29:
Precis forecast:Showers,thunderstorms and rain
Partly to mostly cloudy.A very high(95%) chance of showers,thunderstorms and rain.Light winds becoming northwesterly at 10-20 km/h from late morning becoming light at night,but stronger winds with showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of any rain:95%
23-32 Degrees Celsius
Thursday November 30:
Precis forecast:Showers, thunderstorms and rain.
Partly to mostly cloudy.A high(80%) chance of showers,thunderstorms and rain.Light winds becoming northwesterly at 10-20 km/h from late morning becoming light at night,but stronger winds with showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of any rain:80%
