Explanatory notes:
The monsoon trough lies just slightly to the south of Peninsular Malaysia
today with moderate to strong northeast monsoon conditions.Light winds now are due to boundary layer decoupling and winds will strengthen during the mid/late morning due to increasing vertical mixing with solar heating.
From Saturday March 4
onwards the northeast monsoon and the monsoon trough weakens as the Siberian High contracts slightly.
During early next week(from Sunday) typical wet season conditions as the atmosphere becomes very
moist and unstable with the strong solar heating and weak background low
level easterly winds the development of sea breezes are likely from
afternoon to early night.This will lead to sea breeze convergence
leading to the development of showers and thunderstorms, there
is some uncertainty on the steering flow during early next week however
with the possibility of a steering flow from a somewhat westerly
direction and hence a higher chance of afternoon/evening showers and
thunderstorms over the more inland areas than the more coastal/western
areas.But a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms mainly in the
morning hours.During the middle of next week drier and more stable air
from the subtropics penetrates into the region,reducing the rain chances
to slight chances in the afternoon/evening with the development of sea
breeze convergence still expected then.
The precis(summary) forecasts
and "chance of any rain forecasts" are for Melaka City Center
while the detailed description underneath the precis forecasts is for
the forecast area of Melaka area but the chance of rain forecasts in the detailed description
underneath the precis forecasts is the average for the forecast area
unless otherwise stated.
The weather forecasts are produced by me and not by any government agency.Use at your own risk.
The rest of Friday March 3:
Precis forecast:Possible showers.
Partly to mostly cloudy.A medium(60%) showers.A chance of
thunderstorms.Light winds strengthening to 15-25 km/h
during the mid/late morning to early afternoon then becoming northeasterly
10-20 km/h again later.
maximum temperature:32 Degrees Celsius
chance of any rain:60%
Saturday March 4:
Precis forecast:Possible showers and thunderstorms in the PM.
Partly
to mostly cloudy.A slight(20%) of a shower or thunderstorm in the
morning.A medium(40%) chance of showers and thunderstorms from
afternoon.Winds northeasterly 10-20 km/h becoming light from evening.
24-32 Degrees Celsius
chance of any rain:40%
Sunday March 5:
Precis forecast:Possible morning shower or thunderstorm then afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms.
Partly
cloudy.A
slight(30%) chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning then a
high(70%) chance of showers and thunderstorms between afternoon to early
night.Light northeasterly winds with a light westerly sea breeze in the
afternoon/evening.
24-32 Degrees Celsius
Chance of any rain:70%
Monday March 6:
Precis forecast:Afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms.
Partly
cloudy.A
slight(20%) chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning then a
high(70%) chance of showers and thunderstorms between
afternoon to early night.Light winds with a westerly
sea breeze at 10-20 km/h in the afternoon/evening.
24-32 Degrees Celsius
Chance of any rain:70%
Tuesday March 7:
Precis forecast:Afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms.Partly
cloudy.A slight(20%) chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
morning. with a high(70%) chance of showers and thunderstorms between
afternoon to early night.Light winds with a westerly sea breeze at 10-20
km/h in the afternoon/evening.