Wednesday 22 March 2017

Weather forecast for Kuala Lumpur produced at 12:30 AM Thursday March 23

Kuala Lumpur 7 day weather forecast produced at 12:30 AM Thursday March 23:
Explanatory notes:







Figure 1.Key feature identified on ECMWF model simulation of surface winds for 06Z(2 PM Malaysian time) yesterday(Wednesday) based on the 00Z run yesterday.Background image from Windytv,key features and drawing by me.Dashed line represents troughs while arrows point the wind direction and by no means indicate wind speed.H represents high pressure while L,low pressure with mean sea level pressure in hPa displayed.







Figure 2.Key features identified on true colour RGB satellite image at around 08:00 UTC(4 PM Malaysian time yesterday(Wednesday).Satellite image courtesy of Japanese Meteorological Agency,key feature and drawing by me.

Update:The forecast for today(Thursday) has been updated taking into account the latest numerical weather prediction guidance.Although the region lies within the doldrum region today dry air is expected aloft which reduces the chance of rain slightly but this drier air can also lead to stronger downdrafts with showers and thunderstorms due to the evaporational cooling being enhanced.

Until to Saturday the doldrums lie over the region again with light low level winds and a steering flow somewhat from the north,this should lead to medium to high chances of of showers and thunderstorms especially in the afternoon/evening but I am hesitant to put very high chances due to the possibility of some dry air moving in aloft during this period.

Then from Sunday moderate northeast monsoon conditions with a steering flow somewhat from the east over the region as the Siberian High expands and the atmosphere will become more moist and unstable over the region altogether leading to very high chances of showers and thunderstorms.


The precis(summary) forecasts 
and "chance of any rain forecasts" are for Kuala Lumpur City Center 
while the detailed description underneath the precis forecasts is for 
the forecast area of Greater Kuala Lumpur area including the Klang 
Valley but the chance of rain forecasts in the detailed description 
underneath the precis forecasts is the average for the forecast area 
unless otherwise stated.


The weather forecasts are produced by me and not by any government agency.Use at your own risk.







The rest of today Thursday March 23:
Precis forecast:Possible afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy with a medium(60%) chance of showers and thunderstorms with possible gusty winds between afternoon and early night.Light winds with a west to southwesterly sea breeze at 10-20 km/h in the afternoon/evening but possible gusty winds associated with showers and thunderstorms.
26-34 Degrees Celsius
Chance of any rain:60%




Friday March 24:

Precis forecast:Afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy with a high(70%) chance of showers and thunderstorms between afternoon and early night.Light winds with a west to southwesterly sea breeze at 10-20 km/h in the afternoon/evening.
25-34 Degrees Celsius
Chance of any rain:70%


Saturday March 25:


Precis forecast:Afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy with a high(70%) chance of showers and thunderstorms between afternoon and early night.Light winds with a west to southwesterly sea breeze at 10-20 km/h in the afternoon/evening.
25-34 Degrees Celsius
Chance of any rain:70%


Sunday March 26:

Precis forecast:Afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy with a very high(90%) chance of showers and thunderstorms between afternoon and early night.Light winds with a west to southwesterly sea breeze at 10-20 km/h in the afternoon/evening.
25-33 Degrees Celsius
Chance of any rain:90%


Monday March 27:

Precis forecast:PM showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy with a very high(95%) chance of showers and thunderstorms from afternoon.Light winds with a west to southwesterly sea breeze at 10-20 km/h in the afternoon/evening.
24-33 Degrees Celsius
Chance of any rain:95%


Tuesday March 28:

Precis forecast:PM showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy with a very high(95%) chance of showers and thunderstorms from afternoon.Light winds with a west to southwesterly sea breeze at 10-20 km/h in the afternoon/evening.
24-33 Degrees Celsius
Chance of any rain:95%

Wednesday March 29:

Precis forecast:PM showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy with a very high(95%) chance of showers and thunderstorms from afternoon.Light winds with a west to southwesterly sea breeze at 10-20 km/h in the afternoon/evening.
24-33 Degrees Celsius
Chance of any rain:95%

Forecast for today Thursday March 23 produced at 12:30 AM Thursday March 23,forecast for the rest of the days produced at 6:00 PM Wednesday March 22.Weather icons courtesy of the US National Weather Service.